Thursday, February 24, 2011

Food inflation up to 11.49%; Prime Minister expects decline to 7%

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Prime Minister Manmohan Singh speaks during a news conference in New Delhi May 24, 2010. Singh said on Thursday he was committed to bringing a food security bill to parliament soon and controlling inflation while protecting economic growth. REUTERS/B MathurAfter declining for two weeks food inflation inched up to 11.49% even as Prime Minister Manmohan Singh exuded confidence that price rise will moderate and overall inflation will decline to 7% by the end of next month.
Food prices moved upwards on account of rise in prices of egg, meat, fish, milk and vegetables, according to the Wholesale Price Index (WPI) data for the week ended February 12 released today.
The food inflation had dropped to 11.05% in the first week of February from 13.07 in the previous week, which was also a decline from the numbers for week ended January 22.
Terming high food inflation as a matter of concern, the prime minister in Lok Sabha said the situation has improved and expected the situation to improve further.
"I will be the first one to admit that inflation in the last 18 months has become a problem. There were reasons beyond our control. First of all, there was the drought of 2009 and there were natural calamities which affected the production of
important products such as vegetables and onions," he said.
Singh, however, exuded confidence that the overall inflation will come down to seven% by March-end on the back of steps being taken by the government.
The Planning Commission deputy chairman Montek Singh Ahluwalia has also said food inflation will come down to single digit by March end.
On the rising prices of cereals, Singh said India has sufficient accumulated stock of the commodity.
As per the WPI data, there was an uptick in the prices of cereals and rice during the week ended February 12.
Inflation in cereals was 2.07% and rice stood at 1.65% on an annual basis.
At the same time, prices of eggs, meat and fish rose by 14.79% while milk was dearer by 16.99%.
Vegetable prices continued to pinch the pocket of common man as it rose by 15.89% in the week under review, despite a 9.72% decline in potato prices.
During the week, prices of milk rose by 5%, mutton 2% and barley 1%. Among fuel items, furnace oil and naphtha grew by 2% each.
"I think this is not a trend. Going ahead, food inflation will come down," said Crisil Chief Economist DK Joshi.
Currently, fuel and fibre prices are witnessing a high trend, Joshi said.
Fuel prices can see further rise in the coming weeks as crude oil prices are hardening due to political crisis in the Middle-East, experts said.
Crude oil prices hit a two-year high of $99.10 per barrel at the New York Mercantile Exchange.
As per the data, inflation in primary articles was 15.77% and non-food articles 31.58% for the week ended February 12.
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